Louisville doesn’t necessarily have to score 3 to make up that GD…bc if the Thorns lose, it’ll be lessening the GD LOU will need. We could lose 2-0 and they’d only have to win by 1 to match GD. Based on how we’ve been playing I honestly don’t think it’s that far-fetched. Bay beating Houston also seems likely. But yes, lots needs to go right (wrong?) for us to miss playoffs…
Louisville doesn’t necessarily have to score 3 to make up that GD…bc if the Thorns lose, it’ll be lessening the GD LOU will need. We could lose 2-0 and they’d only have to win by 1 to match GD. Based on how we’ve been playing I honestly don’t think it’s that far-fetched. Bay beating Houston also seems likely. But yes, lots needs to go right (wrong?) for us to miss playoffs…
The first tiebreaker (after points) is goal difference, second is total wins. The Thorns will beat Loovull on wins if it comes to that, since we currently have 9 and they have 7.
No Reyna is going to suck. She’s an excellent 1 vs 1 defender. If Rob has us playing to tie again and starts the slowest forwards he can think of it’s over.
Right, but they still have to make up that GD somehow- Whether by luck or their own doing. Louisville also isn't very good and while SD isn't either, they do have attacking talent and I wouldn't bet on Louisville winning in San Diego.
Again: It's very possible the three things happen that need to happen in order for them to miss the playoffs, especially how much of a mess everything is...but it's still not the most statistically likely outcome given three different results have to happen.
Louisville doesn’t necessarily have to score 3 to make up that GD…bc if the Thorns lose, it’ll be lessening the GD LOU will need. We could lose 2-0 and they’d only have to win by 1 to match GD. Based on how we’ve been playing I honestly don’t think it’s that far-fetched. Bay beating Houston also seems likely. But yes, lots needs to go right (wrong?) for us to miss playoffs…
I thought the first tiebreaker was total wins, which Louisville would lose to the Thorns.
The first tiebreaker (after points) is goal difference, second is total wins. The Thorns will beat Loovull on wins if it comes to that, since we currently have 9 and they have 7.
No Reyna is going to suck. She’s an excellent 1 vs 1 defender. If Rob has us playing to tie again and starts the slowest forwards he can think of it’s over.
Right, but they still have to make up that GD somehow- Whether by luck or their own doing. Louisville also isn't very good and while SD isn't either, they do have attacking talent and I wouldn't bet on Louisville winning in San Diego.
Again: It's very possible the three things happen that need to happen in order for them to miss the playoffs, especially how much of a mess everything is...but it's still not the most statistically likely outcome given three different results have to happen.